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Area Forecast Discussion · ALY

Albany, New York

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1400 Washington Ave, Albany, NY, United States of America

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Product header AFDALY·FXUS61 KALY 311725
Title
Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by
National Weather Service Albany NY
AWIPS ID
AFDALY
WMO heading
FXUS61 KALY 311725
Sequence
476

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes with this forecast update.

KEY MESSAGES

Mostly dry weather is expected this weekend through at least the middle of next week, with increasing chances for rain later in the week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1

High pressure centered over the region will bring mainly clear skies and cool temperatures tonight into Sun morning. Lows will be mainly in the 20s across much of the area. After a cool start, temperatures will warm to slightly above normal levels Sun P.M. as high pressure shifts south of the area and a SW flow develops. The high looks to be positioned over the mid Atlantic region through early next week, with ridging extending north into our area providing continued dry conditions. A warm front may bring a few light showers to the Adirondacks Tue P.M, but most areas will remain dry. High confidence in above normal temperatures persisting through next week. The next chance of rain arrives later next week Thu/Fri, although confidence in timing and rainfall amounts is low due to considerable spread in guidance with regards to the pattern evolution of a potential closed low or a more progressive open wave trough aloft and associated cold front passage. Given high uncertainty this far out, 50-60% PoPs look reasonable during this time.

AVIATION

18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

Through 18z Sunday, generally VFR conditions are expected through the period with just some patchy clouds with bases of 4000-6000 FT AGL this afternoon, and some passing high clouds late tonight into Sunday. There is a very low chance (<10%) of some patchy ground fog forming around sunrise at KPSF and KGFL, however have left out mention at this time due to such a low probability. Winds will be west to northwest at 5-10 KT this afternoon, becoming light/variable to calm tonight into Sunday morning, then trending into the west to southwest at 4-8 KT by early Sunday afternoon.

Outlook

Sunday Night-Wednesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Wednesday Night-Thu: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT

None.

NY

None.

MA

None.

VT

None.

DISCUSSION...07AVIATION...24

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Forecast discussions

Each National Weather Service forecast office writes an Area Forecast Discussion: the forecasters' own account of the reasoning behind the forecast. It says what the weather models show and where they disagree, how confident the forecasters are, and what could change.

Offices issue one at least twice a day, early morning and afternoon, and update it as things change. It's written in sections, usually a synopsis, the near and long term, and the outlook for pilots, mariners and fire weather, ending with any watches, warnings and advisories in effect. Forecasters write in a shorthand of their own; the NWS glossary explains most of it.

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With your AI assistant

The offices, their discussions, forecasts and alerts are also an MCP server, so an assistant like Claude can read them for you. It needs no sign-in and changes nothing. Its address is 

https://wxd.app/mcp
  • In Claude, under Settings, then Connectors, add a custom connector with that address.
  • In Claude Code, run claude mcp add --transport http forecast-discussions https://wxd.app/mcp.
  • In another client, add a server reached over streamable HTTP at that address.

Then ask, say, what the Tucson office thinks of the weekend.

An experiment by Christopher Green. Not affiliated with the National Weather Service.

The discussions are the forecast offices' own, as published by the National Weather Service.

Set in these faces, each under the SIL Open Font License 1.1:

  • Lato by Łukasz Dziedzic, for the text
  • Bricolage Grotesque by the Bricolage Grotesque Project Authors, for headings and the wordmark
  • DM Mono by the DM Mono Project Authors, for what the offices write

Icons from Heroicons and, for the weather, Phosphor Icons, both under the MIT License.